The picture and prognosis down the stretch

by Greg in

Down the stretch As of this afternoon, four days and 16 games remain in the 2009 CCBL season. Playoffs commence on Friday with the two division champs receiving first-round byes while the other four teams play one-game playoffs.

The picture in the East is looking clearer from a total points perspective:

EAST -- Y-D Red Sox (51), Orleans Fire Birds (46) Chatham Anglers (40), Harwich Mariners (37), Brewster White Caps (36)

Right Field Fog and the Cape Cod Times (see Russ Charpentier's pick on the front page) seem to agree that tonight's Eastern matchup between Chatham and Harwich is the one to watch. Pitchers are Jake Thompson (0-2) agains John Gast (1-3)

The picture in the West does not appear clear at all:

WEST -- Bourne Braves (44), Cotuit Ketleers (45), Wareham Gatemen (44), Falmouth Commodores (34), Hyannis (31).

My pick would be the double-header today between Brewster at Bourne. What if Brewster took both games and Harwich and Chatham lost?

I wish the league or the teams themselves published "clench calculators" so it was easier to understand the math of winning playoff berths. Perhaps with 10 teams so close it would require such a complicated alogrithm that it's not worth it.

Has anyone calculated the various magic numbers necessary for the 6 playoff spots?

I see the following teams in the playoffs:  Y-D, Orleans, Chatham in the East and Bourne, Cotuit and Wareham in the West.  The biggest question I have is whether Harwich (5-5 in the last 10) can overtake Chatham (3-7 in the last 10). Chatham's defense has looked so good that I continue to believe they can pull it out.